Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1302.419230 1483.744640 1686.287959 1930.232009 2217.292695 2545.839557 2952.443531
2025-08-17 1044.837659 1286.543663 1582.968012 1977.233984 2493.888266 3156.298355 4083.598584
2025-08-24 902.010824 1167.333303 1513.033363 2004.246833 2697.111400 3659.409282 5133.109313
2025-08-31 798.651582 1074.894099 1452.583802 2018.784685 2867.557569 4128.887820 6217.232109
2025-09-07 727.678796 1012.796442 1419.164904 2057.652763 3068.202308 4665.204135 7508.445431
2025-09-14 644.367070 920.948068 1328.406002 1993.319868 3093.517144 4923.498226 8388.895218
2025-09-21 576.931037 843.910125 1248.828472 1932.231509 3109.183297 5160.534829 9274.710938
2025-09-28 518.269849 773.583157 1170.801631 1861.490574 3094.351295 5336.203976 10076.982066
2025-10-05 496.692455 758.552411 1177.951791 1932.645150 3337.057668 6021.809144 12071.956657
2025-10-12 470.180857 732.608532 1163.789776 1963.697405 3509.082908 6601.193531 13993.662351
2025-10-19 444.072344 704.649727 1142.889150 1979.040859 3651.794526 7145.881222 15987.177191
2025-10-26 419.659837 677.214978 1119.842787 1986.848065 3779.458114 7681.243199 18114.859960
2025-11-02 404.726327 665.471740 1124.555224 2050.844577 4039.368745 8578.276101 21530.302656
2025-11-09 388.778695 650.591047 1122.186784 2100.929628 4279.364847 9487.565122 25341.061881
2025-11-16 371.609518 631.869866 1110.522763 2130.003864 4476.575062 10336.862350 29315.886269
2025-11-23 354.385294 611.524345 1093.634631 2145.629875 4644.851755 11151.561650 33532.406175
2025-11-30 341.555287 598.286976 1089.200475 2187.423841 4883.650433 12217.428708 39126.119464
2025-12-07 318.146894 563.055970 1037.762840 2118.254567 4832.680037 12448.268189 41720.157186
2025-12-14 297.148793 531.022396 990.187572 2052.602104 4780.930769 12667.572192 44390.020062
2025-12-21 276.897047 499.118233 940.417728 1976.611304 4690.812809 12752.336053 46562.344209
2025-12-28 272.254607 497.822861 954.364062 2053.046555 5028.684588 14285.080648 56025.955475
2026-01-04 264.014422 488.650796 950.721960 2086.415427 5252.474158 15508.494017 64855.672739
2026-01-11 254.896289 477.027956 940.763949 2102.906232 5430.801029 16629.220263 73961.265165